Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.028617 0.030722 0.032839 0.035124 0.037517 0.039948 0.042600
2026-01-25 0.024553 0.027836 0.031258 0.035080 0.039216 0.043547 0.048413
2026-02-01 0.022050 0.025999 0.030222 0.035050 0.040393 0.046102 0.052638
2026-02-08 0.020108 0.024525 0.029354 0.034985 0.041330 0.048221 0.056230
2026-02-15 0.018485 0.023250 0.028564 0.034868 0.042087 0.050036 0.059394
2026-02-22 0.017146 0.022190 0.027918 0.034821 0.042838 0.051776 0.062416
2026-03-01 0.015800 0.021028 0.027068 0.034461 0.043161 0.052974 0.064778
2026-03-08 0.014427 0.019749 0.026007 0.033781 0.043048 0.053619 0.066460
2026-03-15 0.013177 0.018547 0.024973 0.033071 0.042845 0.054112 0.067926
2026-03-22 0.012732 0.018318 0.025092 0.033725 0.044245 0.056469 0.071561
2026-03-29 0.012069 0.017774 0.024792 0.033841 0.044977 0.058023 0.074245
2026-04-05 0.011369 0.017145 0.024355 0.033758 0.045445 0.059247 0.076527
2026-04-12 0.010963 0.016917 0.024452 0.034389 0.046851 0.061681 0.080369
2026-04-19 0.010273 0.016284 0.024016 0.034344 0.047433 0.063142 0.083081
2026-04-26 0.009648 0.015704 0.023616 0.034315 0.048011 0.064581 0.085758
2026-05-03 0.009058 0.015138 0.023208 0.034251 0.048525 0.065929 0.088318
2026-05-10 0.008493 0.014578 0.022779 0.034136 0.048955 0.067162 0.090730
2026-05-17 0.007995 0.014085 0.022418 0.034089 0.049458 0.068473 0.093235
2026-05-24 0.007424 0.013455 0.021843 0.033735 0.049543 0.069249 0.095069
2026-05-31 0.006789 0.012695 0.021055 0.033064 0.049191 0.069455 0.096179
2026-06-07 0.006192 0.011957 0.020268 0.032365 0.048775 0.069560 0.097145
2026-06-14 0.006044 0.011909 0.020461 0.033009 0.050139 0.071936 0.100978
2026-06-21 0.005748 0.011611 0.020279 0.033124 0.050788 0.073396 0.103657